Tottenham Hotspur vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1920 |
BBU
1 - 1
TOT
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1920 |
DER
2 - 2
TOT
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1920 |
TOT
1 - 2
BBU
46%
25%
30%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1920 |
TOT
0 - 2
WBA
43%
24%
33%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1920 |
BIR
0 - 1
TOT
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1920 |
CHL
1 - 1
DER
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1920 |
DER
2 - 2
TOT
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1920 |
DER
0 - 0
CHL
57%
23%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1920 |
DER
1 - 0
NEW
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1920 |
DER
5 - 0
CHL
55%
24%
22%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |