Tottenham Hotspur vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1912 |
BBU
6 - 1
TOT
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1912 |
TOT
2 - 4
SHW
43%
24%
33%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1912 |
TOT
0 - 2
EVE
49%
24%
28%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1912 |
BRA
3 - 0
TOT
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1912 |
TOT
1 - 0
BOL
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1912 |
DER
1 - 4
EVE
49%
24%
28%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1912 |
SUN
0 - 2
DER
79%
13%
8%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1912 |
DER
1 - 1
BBU
40%
24%
36%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1912 |
BAR
0 - 2
DER
46%
25%
30%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1912 |
DER
4 - 0
GAI
89%
8%
3%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |