EFL Cup Semi-finals
Global 0-3
Tottenham Hotspur vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
49.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
TOT
3 - 1
MOR
84%
12%
4%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2022 |
CHL
2 - 0
TOT
62%
21%
17%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
WAT
0 - 1
TOT
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 1
TOT
23%
23%
54%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
TOT
3 - 0
CRY
63%
21%
16%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
CHL
5 - 1
CHE
88%
10%
3%
|
93 | 58 | 35 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2022 |
CHL
2 - 0
TOT
62%
21%
17%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2022 |
CHL
2 - 2
LIV
28%
23%
49%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2021 |
CHL
1 - 1
BHA
74%
18%
8%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
ASV
1 - 3
CHL
18%
22%
60%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | +1 |