Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1994 |
POS
1 - 1
TOT
13%
22%
65%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1994 |
SHW
1 - 0
TOT
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1994 |
TOT
1 - 2
COV
69%
19%
13%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1993 |
WHU
1 - 3
TOT
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1993 |
TOT
1 - 3
NOR
58%
22%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1994 |
EXE
0 - 1
ASV
14%
21%
65%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1994 |
ASV
0 - 1
BBU
51%
26%
24%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1993 |
NOR
1 - 2
ASV
46%
28%
27%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1993 |
MUD
3 - 1
ASV
66%
21%
13%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1993 |
ASV
0 - 1
WIM
54%
25%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |