Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1921 |
MID
0 - 0
TOT
54%
23%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1921 |
TOT
2 - 4
MID
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1921 |
BOL
1 - 0
TOT
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1921 |
TOT
4 - 1
CAR
77%
14%
9%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1921 |
TOT
1 - 2
BOL
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1921 |
ASV
2 - 0
PNE
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1921 |
ASV
1 - 1
BBU
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1921 |
PNE
1 - 0
ASV
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1921 |
CAR
0 - 4
ASV
29%
24%
47%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1921 |
ASV
4 - 0
MAC
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |