Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16%
14.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1964 |
TOT
3 - 0
FUL
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1964 |
BPO
1 - 1
TOT
30%
23%
48%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1964 |
MUD
4 - 1
TOT
47%
22%
32%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1964 |
TOT
1 - 0
WBA
74%
15%
11%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1964 |
TOT
2 - 1
STO
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1964 |
ARS
0 - 3
NTT
65%
18%
17%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1964 |
ARS
1 - 3
CHL
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1964 |
LEI
2 - 3
ARS
54%
21%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1964 |
BBU
1 - 2
ARS
58%
20%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1964 |
ARS
3 - 1
SUN
66%
18%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |