Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
8.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1961 |
MUD
2 - 0
TOT
43%
23%
35%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1960 |
TOT
5 - 2
BBU
83%
10%
7%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1960 |
WHU
0 - 3
TOT
40%
22%
38%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1960 |
TOT
2 - 0
WHU
80%
12%
8%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1960 |
EVE
1 - 3
TOT
41%
23%
37%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1961 |
ARS
5 - 4
MAC
58%
19%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1960 |
NTT
3 - 5
ARS
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1960 |
ARS
1 - 1
SHW
53%
21%
26%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1960 |
SHW
1 - 1
ARS
67%
17%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1960 |
ARS
2 - 5
BUR
45%
22%
32%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |