Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1922 |
TOT
3 - 1
OLD
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1922 |
TOT
2 - 1
BIR
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1922 |
SUN
2 - 0
TOT
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1922 |
BIR
0 - 3
TOT
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1922 |
HUR
1 - 1
TOT
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1922 |
MID
4 - 2
ARS
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1922 |
ARS
3 - 1
MUD
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1922 |
ARS
2 - 2
MID
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1922 |
ARS
2 - 0
ASV
39%
26%
34%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1922 |
ARS
1 - 0
LIV
40%
29%
31%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |