Total Chalaco vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Total Chalaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
CIE
2 - 2
TOT
62%
22%
17%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
TOT
2 - 2
BOL
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
TOT
1 - 2
SPO
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
CNI
1 - 0
TOT
43%
29%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SAM
2 - 0
TOT
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
SAM
0 - 0
CNI
61%
23%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
CIE
1 - 1
SAM
49%
25%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ALI
0 - 0
SAM
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SAM
2 - 0
TOT
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
AYA
1 - 1
SAM
35%
29%
36%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |