Total Chalaco vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
28.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Total Chalaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
UNI
3 - 0
TOT
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
TOT
4 - 0
GAL
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 0
TOT
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
TOT
0 - 0
AUR
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
TOT
3 - 1
AYA
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SPC
0 - 2
CIE
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SPO
0 - 5
SPC
41%
29%
30%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
SPC
5 - 0
ALI
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
CNI
0 - 0
SPC
48%
28%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
EST
1 - 0
SPC
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -2 |