Total Chalaco vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
18.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Total Chalaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
TOT
2 - 3
VAL
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
SPC
0 - 1
TOT
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
TOT
1 - 1
UNI
49%
27%
23%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
GAL
2 - 1
TOT
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
TOT
3 - 2
MEL
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
AYA
3 - 1
SPC
35%
30%
35%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 1
AYA
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
AYA
1 - 0
GAL
46%
29%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
MEL
0 - 2
AYA
49%
28%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
AYA
0 - 0
AUR
41%
30%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |