Total Chalaco vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Total Chalaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 2
TOT
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
TOT
3 - 2
HUA
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
TOT
0 - 1
ALI
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
CIE
5 - 2
TOT
54%
23%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 0
TOT
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
MEL
1 - 1
SPC
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
AUR
1 - 0
MEL
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
MEL
1 - 4
SAM
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
SBO
2 - 0
MEL
37%
27%
37%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
UNI
3 - 1
MEL
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |