Total Chalaco vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Total Chalaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
TOT
1 - 2
BOL
49%
26%
26%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
TOT
2 - 2
SAM
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
CIE
2 - 2
TOT
62%
22%
17%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
TOT
2 - 2
BOL
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
TOT
1 - 2
SPO
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
SLO
3 - 0
CIE
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
HUA
3 - 2
CIE
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
CIE
1 - 1
UNI
56%
25%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
MEL
0 - 0
CIE
40%
28%
31%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
CIE
2 - 2
TOT
62%
22%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |