Total Chalaco vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
23.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Total Chalaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
SPO
0 - 2
TOT
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
TOT
2 - 1
CNI
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
TOT
4 - 2
SAM
38%
28%
35%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2009 |
ALI
2 - 2
TOT
51%
27%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
BOL
1 - 4
TOT
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
CIE
3 - 0
AYA
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CNI
1 - 3
CIE
47%
28%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
CIE
3 - 0
ALI
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
AUR
1 - 1
CIE
48%
28%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
CIE
0 - 0
BOL
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |