Total Chalaco vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
39.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Total Chalaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
CIE
5 - 2
TOT
54%
23%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 0
TOT
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
TOT
0 - 0
GAL
62%
21%
16%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
CNI
1 - 2
TOT
45%
27%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
TOT
1 - 3
UNI
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2010 |
ALI
1 - 1
SPC
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2010 |
CIE
2 - 1
ALI
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2010 |
UCH
2 - 2
ALI
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2010 |
ALI
1 - 0
AYA
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
ALI
0 - 1
UCH
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |