TOT vs Samut Songkhram analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
27.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TOT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
BAN
2 - 1
TOT
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
TOT
0 - 3
PAT
55%
24%
22%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
RAT
1 - 0
TOT
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
TOT
1 - 2
CHO
38%
27%
36%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
TOT
0 - 5
BEC
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Samut Songkhram
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
BUR
5 - 1
SAM
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
SAM
2 - 0
SON
38%
28%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
BAN
2 - 0
SAM
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
SAM
1 - 0
CHA
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
SAM
1 - 3
SUP
40%
29%
31%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |