TOT vs Air Force Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TOT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
TOT
1 - 1
CHO
44%
27%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
BUR
3 - 0
TOT
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
TOT
1 - 1
SUP
47%
27%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
PTT
1 - 1
TOT
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
TOT
1 - 2
SAM
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Air Force Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 3
AIR
65%
20%
14%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
AIR
4 - 3
BAN
27%
27%
46%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
AIR
0 - 0
OSO
33%
27%
40%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
MUA
3 - 1
AIR
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
AIR
2 - 0
SIS
22%
26%
52%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +2 |