TOGR vs TOP Oss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
67.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TOP Oss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2004 |
FCD
2 - 2
FCO
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2004 |
FCO
1 - 4
GAE
36%
23%
41%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2004 |
HEL
0 - 2
FCO
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
FCO
3 - 1
FOR
66%
19%
15%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2004 |
SPA
0 - 0
FCO
78%
14%
9%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |