Tosno vs FSC Dolgoprudniy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tosno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
TOS
1 - 0
STR
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2013 |
PSK
1 - 3
TOS
24%
26%
51%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
TOS
2 - 0
PSK
71%
18%
10%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
FCD
0 - 0
TOS
19%
25%
56%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
STR
0 - 1
TOS
19%
24%
57%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
FSC Dolgoprudniy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
PSK
1 - 0
FCD
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2013 |
FCD
1 - 2
ZEN
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
FCD
0 - 0
TOS
19%
25%
56%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
FCD
0 - 2
PSK
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
STR
1 - 0
FCD
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |