Tosno vs Dnepr Smolensk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tosno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
TOS
0 - 0
LOK
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
FCR
1 - 4
TOS
18%
24%
58%
|
60 | 34 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
SEV
0 - 0
TOS
18%
24%
58%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
TOS
1 - 0
DIN
55%
22%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
TOS
4 - 1
KOL
81%
13%
5%
|
59 | 22 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Dnepr Smolensk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
PSK
2 - 0
DNE
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
DNE
2 - 1
STR
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
DNE
3 - 2
FCD
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
LOK
2 - 1
DNE
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
SEV
4 - 1
DNE
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -2 |