Tosno vs Baltika Kaliningrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
10.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tosno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
DIN
0 - 1
TOS
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
FCD
0 - 1
TOS
11%
18%
72%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
TOS
1 - 2
YEN
67%
21%
12%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
TYU
1 - 2
TOS
31%
27%
43%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
TOS
0 - 0
YAR
53%
25%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Baltika Kaliningrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 2
SPA
28%
27%
45%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 3
DIN
12%
22%
66%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
VLA
1 - 1
BAL
45%
29%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 1
NAL
39%
30%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
VOL
1 - 0
BAL
58%
25%
17%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |