Tosno vs Arsenal Tula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
46.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tosno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ZEN
2 - 1
TOS
31%
26%
44%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
RAD
0 - 2
TOS
19%
25%
56%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SPA
3 - 1
TOS
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
ZEN
5 - 0
TOS
89%
8%
3%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
TOS
1 - 2
KAM
61%
24%
15%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 3
ARS
10%
22%
68%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ARS
2 - 1
ZEN
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
FAK
3 - 1
ARS
31%
30%
39%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2015 |
ARS
4 - 1
SPA
68%
21%
11%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
KAM
0 - 1
ARS
16%
25%
59%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | +1 |