Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 0-7
Toscal vs Las Palmas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
65.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
SDA
2 - 1
TCF
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
COL
0 - 1
TCF
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
TCF
1 - 2
NUM
86%
9%
5%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
ALB
2 - 0
TCF
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
TCF
2 - 3
PLA
79%
13%
8%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Las Palmas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
UDL
2 - 0
VCF
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
RAC
2 - 4
UDL
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
UDL
2 - 1
SEV
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1978 |
UDL
1 - 2
RMA
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
ESP
0 - 1
UDL
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |