Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 2-3
Tortosa vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tortosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
TOR
2 - 0
ATB
60%
24%
16%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
GIR
0 - 1
TOR
64%
22%
13%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
TOR
3 - 0
ADC
45%
28%
27%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 May. 1972 |
TOR
1 - 2
GAN
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
BAD
0 - 0
TOR
57%
24%
19%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
LLE
1 - 1
VIL
37%
30%
34%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
VIL
1 - 1
TER
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
MNC
1 - 0
VIL
20%
33%
48%
|
53 | 20 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1972 |
VIL
0 - 0
CDT
48%
28%
24%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
HER
3 - 0
VIL
67%
21%
11%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |