Tortola CF vs Rayo Arriacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
68%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tortola CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MAR
4 - 0
TOR
85%
10%
4%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 3
JAD
8%
13%
79%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
CES
1 - 2
TOR
56%
19%
26%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 2
FON
5%
11%
84%
|
6 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
GUA
4 - 2
TOR
45%
21%
34%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Arriacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
RAY
3 - 0
CIF
67%
17%
16%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
USA
2 - 2
RAY
48%
20%
32%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
RAY
52%
21%
27%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
RAY
1 - 1
JAD
44%
21%
35%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CES
0 - 10
RAY
22%
19%
59%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 |