CD Torrijos vs CD Marchamalo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
36.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
3º
11º
9º
40
7º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
72% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Torrijos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CDT
1 - 0
TOR
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 0
UBC
40%
26%
34%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
LSO
0 - 1
TOR
30%
25%
45%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 1
CSP
34%
25%
41%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 2
TOR
44%
25%
31%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CD Marchamalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
CSP
47%
23%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 1
MAR
36%
25%
40%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
AZU
58%
22%
21%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
MAR
34%
26%
40%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
4 - 0
TDR
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |