Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-2
Torrevieja vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torrevieja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
ALZ
2 - 1
TOR
56%
25%
19%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1990 |
VIL
1 - 0
TOR
44%
28%
27%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
TOR
1 - 0
ORI
46%
28%
26%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
TOR
4 - 2
MAN
46%
28%
26%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
ELD
1 - 2
TOR
54%
26%
20%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
HER
1 - 1
ALC
52%
26%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1990 |
HER
3 - 3
ALZ
56%
26%
19%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
GAN
2 - 1
HER
56%
26%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
HER
0 - 1
ORI
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
HER
3 - 1
MHN
54%
26%
21%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |