AD Torrejón CF vs México FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
44%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
12º
10º
45
4º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 42% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 58% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Torrejón CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
RMA
4 - 2
TRJ
46%
22%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CDM
0 - 1
TRJ
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
TRJ
0 - 0
CVI
63%
21%
16%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 1
TRJ
20%
22%
58%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
TRJ
1 - 1
POZ
46%
26%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
México FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ALC
2 - 4
CDM
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CVI
4 - 3
ALC
17%
22%
61%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ALC
2 - 2
CAN
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
POZ
0 - 0
ALC
33%
25%
42%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ALC
1 - 0
GET
51%
24%
26%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |