Torreense vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.9%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
76.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
15%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torreense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 1
TOR
23%
26%
52%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 0
PRA
27%
25%
47%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MAF
3 - 0
TOR
55%
26%
19%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 2
TOR
20%
26%
54%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 0
LUS
74%
18%
8%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 1
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 0
SCP
19%
22%
59%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +3 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
PAÇ
4 - 0
NAC
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
NAC
59%
23%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
EST
1 - 3
NAC
8%
16%
76%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | +1 |