Torreense vs Lusitânia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
8.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+170%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torreense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 0
ACV
26%
26%
48%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
GDA
0 - 2
TOR
17%
24%
59%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 1
ALC
40%
27%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 3
TOR
15%
22%
64%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 2
TOR
55%
26%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
LUS
0 - 3
MAF
16%
25%
60%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 0
LUS
68%
21%
11%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
PRA
2 - 0
LUS
79%
15%
7%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GDA
1 - 0
LUS
27%
22%
51%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
LUS
0 - 3
ALC
26%
25%
49%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |