Torreense vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torreense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
FCB
4 - 3
TOR
57%
20%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1957 |
ORI
0 - 1
TOR
47%
24%
29%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1957 |
TOR
1 - 3
SLB
19%
20%
61%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
VST
1 - 3
TOR
65%
19%
17%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
TOR
1 - 0
SAL
61%
20%
20%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
CAL
2 - 2
FAB
57%
21%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1957 |
CAL
1 - 3
SCP
11%
17%
73%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1957 |
BEL
0 - 1
CAL
91%
6%
3%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
CAL
1 - 0
LGC
41%
23%
36%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
ACA
1 - 1
CAL
79%
13%
8%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |