Torreense vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torreense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
FAB
1 - 0
TOR
60%
20%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
TOR
1 - 1
FCP
20%
21%
59%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1956 |
SPC
2 - 4
TOR
70%
16%
14%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1956 |
FCP
2 - 0
TOR
85%
9%
5%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1956 |
BEL
2 - 3
TOR
84%
10%
6%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
CAL
0 - 1
FCB
51%
23%
27%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
VST
1 - 1
CAL
73%
15%
12%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1956 |
CAL
4 - 2
ORI
56%
21%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1956 |
BEL
3 - 2
CAL
86%
9%
5%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1956 |
CAL
2 - 1
TIR
52%
20%
28%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |