Torreense vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
71.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torreense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
LGC
6 - 0
TOR
63%
20%
16%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
TOR
0 - 2
BEL
29%
28%
43%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
VIT
2 - 0
TOR
79%
14%
8%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
TOR
5 - 0
SPB
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
SEI
2 - 1
TOR
61%
19%
20%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
SLB
3 - 2
BEL
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
SPB
1 - 2
SLB
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1965 |
SLB
5 - 1
RMA
50%
22%
29%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
SLB
3 - 0
ACA
87%
9%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
FAB
2 - 0
SLB
22%
21%
57%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |