Torreense vs Atlético Ouriense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torreense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SER
2 - 0
TOR
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 1
UDL
36%
27%
37%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ELE
1 - 1
TOR
38%
27%
36%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 1
FAT
54%
25%
21%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 2
SER
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Ouriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ALC
3 - 1
ATL
64%
21%
16%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SER
4 - 0
ATL
75%
17%
8%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 3
UDL
18%
22%
60%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ELE
0 - 1
ATL
68%
20%
12%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 2
ELE
22%
25%
53%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -1 |