Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-3
Torre Pacheco vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
57.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torre Pacheco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
PIN
2 - 1
AGU
72%
18%
10%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1982 |
MUR
2 - 0
PIN
90%
7%
3%
|
30 | 72 | 42 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
ELD
1 - 1
PIN
65%
21%
14%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
PIN
1 - 0
MAZ
66%
20%
14%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
PIN
3 - 0
ORI
50%
26%
24%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
ELC
2 - 0
MUR
58%
24%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1982 |
MUR
2 - 0
PIN
90%
7%
3%
|
72 | 30 | 42 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
MUR
2 - 0
MLL
70%
19%
12%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
PAL
1 - 0
MUR
33%
30%
37%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
MUR
2 - 1
CAS
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |