Torre Moncorvo vs Montalegre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
69.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torre Moncorvo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
BRA
3 - 0
TMO
76%
14%
10%
|
12 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
TMO
0 - 4
AMA
8%
15%
77%
|
13 | 46 | 33 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
TRO
4 - 0
TMO
89%
8%
3%
|
13 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
8 - 0
TMO
85%
11%
4%
|
14 | 44 | 30 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
TMO
0 - 0
SMA
8%
15%
77%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | +2 |
Matches
Montalegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MON
2 - 2
TOR
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
OSL
69%
16%
15%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
VIL
5 - 1
MON
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
MON
4 - 4
ADO
26%
25%
49%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
TOR
2 - 1
MON
46%
23%
32%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |