Torre Moncorvo vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.9%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
77.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torre Moncorvo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
TRO
4 - 0
TMO
89%
8%
3%
|
13 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
8 - 0
TMO
85%
11%
4%
|
14 | 44 | 30 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
TMO
0 - 0
SMA
8%
15%
77%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
PED
6 - 1
TMO
85%
11%
5%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
TMO
1 - 2
CAN
13%
17%
71%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
AMA
2 - 0
MAR
50%
25%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
PED
2 - 3
AMA
23%
26%
51%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 0
GAN
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
FEL
0 - 1
AMA
34%
27%
39%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
AMA
3 - 0
TRO
36%
25%
40%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |