Copa Simón Bolívar Eliminatorias Last 16
Global 5-2
Torre Fuerte vs Pasión Celeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
18%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+969%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torre Fuerte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
PAS
1 - 0
TFU
22%
20%
58%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PAS
2 - 1
TFU
17%
18%
65%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
TFU
3 - 2
FAN
21%
20%
58%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TFU
1 - 0
PAS
81%
12%
7%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FAN
0 - 0
TFU
80%
12%
8%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Pasión Celeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
PAS
1 - 0
TFU
22%
20%
58%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FAN
4 - 2
PAS
85%
10%
6%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PAS
2 - 1
TFU
17%
18%
65%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PAS
3 - 2
FAN
9%
15%
76%
|
13 | 43 | 30 | +5 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TFU
1 - 0
PAS
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | -1 |