Copa Simón Bolívar Eliminatorias Semi-finals
Global 4-9
Torre Fuerte vs GV San Jose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
25.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+2652%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torre Fuerte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
DGV
5 - 1
TFU
28%
21%
51%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
SEP
1 - 3
TFU
58%
19%
23%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
TFU
1 - 1
SEP
37%
22%
40%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
TFU
5 - 1
PAS
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
PAS
1 - 0
TFU
22%
20%
58%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
GV San Jose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
DGV
5 - 1
TFU
28%
21%
51%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
REA
1 - 4
DGV
46%
22%
32%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
DGV
4 - 1
REA
41%
22%
37%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
DGV
4 - 1
UNI
14%
21%
66%
|
17 | 63 | 46 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 1
DGV
78%
15%
7%
|
16 | 63 | 47 | +1 |