Montevideo City Torque vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
53.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo City Torque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
CSC
0 - 1
TOR
32%
27%
42%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
TOR
2 - 1
CAN
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2017 |
ORI
2 - 2
TOR
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
TOR
4 - 1
VIL
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
HFC
2 - 3
TOR
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 1
NAC
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 3
PEÑ
48%
24%
29%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
NAC
45%
25%
29%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
SUD
3 - 2
NAC
18%
25%
57%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
DEF
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |