Montevideo City Torque vs Cerrito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
3º
3º
23
3º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 50 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 48 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
|
3º
|
30 | 47 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 44 |
4º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 35 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 35 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 34 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 34 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 31 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 28 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 28 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 24 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 23 |
14º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
44.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
55.5% | 17.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 82.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo City Torque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 3
TOR
27%
27%
46%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
ATE
1 - 0
TOR
17%
25%
58%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 2
ALB
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
COL
1 - 1
TOR
14%
23%
63%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 0
SUD
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
CSC
1 - 0
ALB
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
COL
0 - 2
CSC
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
CSC
0 - 2
SUD
49%
25%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
LUZ
6 - 0
CSC
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
CSC
0 - 2
UMO
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |