Montevideo City Torque vs Atenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
3º
3º
20
9º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 50 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 48 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
|
3º
|
30 | 47 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 44 |
4º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 35 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 35 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 34 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 34 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 31 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 28 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
|
12º
|
20 | 28 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 24 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 23 |
14º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
44.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
55.5% | 7% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 93% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo City Torque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ALB
2 - 1
TOR
29%
27%
44%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 0
COL
71%
19%
10%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
CPA
0 - 2
TOR
5%
14%
82%
|
81 | 7 | 74 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SUD
1 - 1
TOR
17%
25%
59%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 1
LUZ
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ATE
1 - 1
CSC
58%
25%
17%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 0
ATE
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ATE
1 - 0
TAC
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
COL
1 - 1
ATE
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ATE
1 - 3
PLA
30%
29%
42%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |