Torquay United vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
72%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torquay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
BRO
1 - 0
GUL
57%
25%
18%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
GUL
0 - 1
MAC
36%
28%
36%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
GUL
0 - 2
MKD
29%
27%
44%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
GRI
2 - 0
GUL
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
GUL
0 - 1
BOS
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
PLY
1 - 1
SOU
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
SOU
2 - 0
LEI
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
SOU
1 - 1
CRY
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
SHW
3 - 3
SOU
30%
26%
43%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
SOU
2 - 1
NOR
57%
24%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |