Torquay United vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
52.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torquay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
GUL
0 - 1
FLE
31%
27%
42%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
HAR
3 - 0
GUL
59%
24%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
GUL
1 - 1
BUR
28%
26%
47%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
GUL
0 - 1
STA
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
CHE
3 - 1
GUL
77%
16%
7%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
BCF
0 - 0
ROC
30%
27%
42%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ROC
3 - 0
OXF
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
EXE
0 - 1
ROC
26%
27%
48%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
ROC
1 - 1
BUR
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
ROC
2 - 1
MOR
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |