Torquay United vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torquay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2005 |
COL
2 - 1
GUL
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
GUL
2 - 0
BPO
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
OLD
1 - 2
GUL
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
GUL
1 - 0
POR
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
GUL
1 - 0
MKD
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2005 |
CAM
0 - 0
NOT
38%
26%
35%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
NOT
0 - 1
BCF
48%
26%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
STF
1 - 1
NOT
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
NOT
2 - 2
GRI
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
OXF
2 - 1
NOT
49%
25%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |