FA Cup 1/64
Global 3-2
Torquay United vs Leyton Orient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
36%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torquay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
POS
5 - 2
GUL
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
GUL
0 - 1
SWI
36%
28%
36%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
GUL
2 - 1
LEA
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
WAL
1 - 0
GUL
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
GUL
0 - 0
STF
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Leyton Orient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
LEY
0 - 0
YEO
33%
26%
42%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
LEY
2 - 1
NOT
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
DON
0 - 0
LEY
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2006 |
LEY
1 - 3
BRI
32%
25%
43%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
SCU
3 - 1
LEY
61%
22%
18%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |