National League Playoff Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Torquay United vs Histon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
35.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torquay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
GUL
2 - 1
BUR
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 1
GUL
25%
26%
49%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
STE
0 - 0
GUL
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
SAL
2 - 2
GUL
28%
27%
46%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
GUL
0 - 2
CRA
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Histon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CRA
3 - 3
HIS
39%
25%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
HIS
1 - 0
WEY
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
HIS
1 - 1
KID
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
HIS
5 - 2
EBB
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
HIS
0 - 0
RUS
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |