Torquay United vs Hereford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torquay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
STO
0 - 4
GUL
39%
23%
38%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
GUL
5 - 0
DAR
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
STA
4 - 2
GUL
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2009 |
GUL
3 - 0
CHE
55%
25%
21%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2009 |
POR
2 - 2
GUL
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
HER
1 - 4
MKD
19%
24%
57%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
MAC
3 - 1
HER
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
HER
0 - 2
NOT
37%
28%
36%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 3
HER
51%
25%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
HER
0 - 1
COL
24%
25%
52%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |