FA Cup 1/256
Global 4-6
Torquay United vs Havant & Waterlooville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torquay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BRO
2 - 0
GUL
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
BOR
2 - 0
GUL
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
GUL
5 - 0
WEA
78%
14%
8%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CHE
2 - 2
GUL
42%
26%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
GUL
1 - 0
SOU
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Havant & Waterlooville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
HAV
5 - 2
CON
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
HAV
3 - 2
BIL
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
STA
1 - 0
HAV
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BEA
3 - 5
HAV
12%
20%
68%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
HAV
1 - 2
OXF
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |