National League Playoff Semi-finals
Global 3-5
Torquay United vs Exeter City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
37.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torquay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2008 |
EXE
1 - 2
GUL
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
GUL
1 - 2
CRA
56%
25%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2008 |
CAM
2 - 0
GUL
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
GUL
0 - 0
YOR
53%
24%
22%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2008 |
RUS
2 - 1
GUL
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2008 |
EXE
1 - 2
GUL
53%
23%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
BUR
4 - 4
EXE
36%
27%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2008 |
EXE
4 - 1
RFC
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
RUS
0 - 2
EXE
31%
26%
42%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2008 |
EXE
1 - 1
ALD
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |